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TWF Market Intelligence

Talent Tightness Index™

How hard does each Southeast labor market fight back when you post a job? 24 metros, scored 0 to 100 from federal employment, wage, and unemployment data. Formula published. Refreshed every release.

Tightest market

86/100

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Deepest pool

20/100

Chicago, IL

Avg metro unemployment

3.6%

May 2026, BLS LAUS

The rankings, live

Higher = tighter for employers. Every row opens that market's page.

70+ Very tight 55-69 Tight 40-54 Competitive 0-39 Deep pool

Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics OES (May 2025) and LAUS (May 2026). Retrieved 2026-07-26. Refreshed with each BLS release.

The formula, published

The index is a weighted composite of three components, each computed as a percentile across the 24 covered metros. The weights are the methodology, so they are public:

50%
30%
20%
Pool depth
Labor slack
Wage competition

Pool depth · 50%

Division-relevant occupation employment (BLS OES), inverted: smaller pools score tighter.

Labor slack · 30%

Metro unemployment rate (BLS LAUS), inverted: lower unemployment means fewer available workers.

Wage competition · 20%

Division mean wage percentile: higher local pay signals employers already bidding for scarce talent.

What it is: a relative index across TWF's covered Southeast metros, refreshed with each federal data release, published openly so anyone can check the math.

What it is not: a national measure, a forecast, or a substitute for market judgment. Durham-Chapel Hill at 86 does not mean hiring is impossible; it means your offer, your speed, and your employer brand have to work harder there, and we price that reality into every engagement.

Use the index

Every TWF market page carries its score, and the turnover cost calculator prices replacement against the same data. Media and researchers: cite as TWF Talent Tightness Index, source BLS OES and LAUS.

Run your market's math Request the dataset